TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Tenerife and Athletic scheduled for November 2, 2026. The match is part of Spain's Liga F, and the result will determine the resolution of betting markets based on the final score after regular time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Tenerife vs Athletic professional Spanish Liga F soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Tenerife win, Athletic win, or a tied result. If the match ends with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the case of cancellation or rescheduling to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Kalshi may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tenerife vs Athletic match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome – which team wins or if the match ends in a tie – will determine which contracts pay out on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of player disputes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can impact trading activity. Major shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions regarding the Tenerife vs Athletic match.