TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether specific scoring thresholds will be met. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams once the game concludes.
Each market specifies a scoring threshold for either the Baltimore Ravens or the Tennessee Titans in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the named team scores more points than the stated threshold—such as over 3.5, 7.5, or higher—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the team scores exactly on the threshold or below, the market resolves to No. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold represents a distinct outcome to be evaluated against the final game score. The governing rules emphasize that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, incorporating factors that sportsbooks may not immediately account for, such as injury updates or subtle changes in team dynamics. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Titans-Ravens team total will be over or under a certain number. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total for both the Titans and Ravens is verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The official team totals, as reported by official NFL sources, will determine whether the market settles on the over or under. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Titans or Ravens would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the starting lineups. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the price of contracts within this market.