TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the final quarter performance of a professional football game between two teams, evaluating how significantly one team outscores the other strictly within the last quarter of play. The outcome depends entirely on the point differential achieved during this specific period, ignoring any points from earlier quarters.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th Quarter of play (excluding overtime) in the TEN Titans vs BAL Ravens Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'. If the BAL Ravens win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter, the corresponding 'BAL Ravens wins by over X points' markets resolve to 'Yes'. Conversely, if the TEN Titans win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter, the respective 'TEN Titans wins by over X points' markets resolve to 'Yes'. If neither team meets their respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent and evaluated separately based on the exact point differential in the final quarter only.
Currently, prediction markets often reflect a collective forecast that differs from traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market represents what traders believe will *actually* happen in the 4th quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant difference exists between Kalshi’s implied probability and sportsbook odds, it may suggest an opportunity for informed traders. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Titans versus Ravens game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by official sports data providers. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual final spread.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the TEN Titans or the BAL Ravens would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and lead to price adjustments as the game draws closer.