TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the TEN Titans or BAL Ravens specifically within the second quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the TEN Titans and BAL Ravens exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, either for BAL Ravens or TEN Titans. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the specified threshold is met or exceeded by the winning team in that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple outcomes depending on the exact point differential achieved during the second quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook's line is inaccurate, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final spread in the 2nd quarter of the TEN Titans vs BAL Ravens game will be used to determine the winning contract. The market will settle based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Titans or the Ravens would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the price to adjust rapidly.