TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the combined points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming NFL game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high or low scoring starts in the match.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both the TEN Titans and BAL Ravens during the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Points from any other quarter or overtime periods are irrelevant. All markets operate independently, meaning resolution for one threshold does not affect others. The official game must proceed as scheduled for resolution; any postponement, cancellation, or significant change in circumstances may lead to void outcomes unless otherwise specified by the governing rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may suggest that prediction market traders have information or perspectives that sportsbooks haven’t fully incorporated. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and information, potentially leading to differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will exceed a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the potential first-quarter score.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official first-quarter total points scored in the TEN Titans vs BAL Ravens game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Titans or the Ravens would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact the price. Even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts or unexpected shifts in public sentiment could move this market. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely first-quarter scoring potential will be reflected in trading activity.