TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Temple vs South Florida college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in each individual market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook odds in response to new information or changing sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and represent their collective forecast for the total points scored by each team.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals will be determined by the official statistics recorded during the Temple vs South Florida football game. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract values traded on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Temple or South Florida would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause the odds to fluctuate.