TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Temple and South Florida. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Temple vs South Florida college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any market where the specified point differential is met or exceeded by the indicated team in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets encompass a range of point differentials for both teams, from narrow margins to larger victories, allowing for varied betting opportunities on the first-half performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, you may find that the price on Kalshi moves differently than the lines offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to news or changing sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the Temple vs South Florida game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders who believe Temple will cover the spread will buy contracts representing a smaller spread, driving up the price. Conversely, those who believe South Florida will cover will sell those contracts or buy contracts representing a larger spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half result of the Temple vs South Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point spread at the end of the first half, as determined by official game statistics. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome – whether Temple covers the spread, South Florida covers, or the game lands on a specific point difference. All contracts will be settled based on this verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Temple or South Florida teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, as can large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also contribute to price fluctuations.