TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Participants can speculate on whether a team will exceed various point thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for East Carolina and Temple in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for each team; if the team's score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartial treatment for all participants regardless of when or if the game is played.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The prices are displayed as probabilities, allowing you to easily compare the likelihood of different scenarios. Trading volume and order book depth also provide insights into market sentiment and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Temple and East Carolina will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract thresholds offered on Kalshi. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception, could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market before it resolves.