TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the Temple vs. East Carolina college football game on October 31st. Markets include the game winner, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and team/quarter-specific scoring outcomes.
In the upcoming college football game between Temple and East Carolina, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Temple" if Temple win the game. This market will resolve to "East Carolina" if East Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Temple and East Carolina, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Temple" if Temple win the game. This market will resolve to "East Carolina" if East Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. While sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin, prediction markets aim for a more direct representation of probabilities, though factors like volume can influence prices in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which all influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Temple at 100%, while Predict leans toward Temple vs. East Carolina. These differing preferences, combined with varying levels of participation, can create price discrepancies. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee mechanisms on each platform can also contribute to these differences, even though both are tracking the same underlying event.