TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Argentina's Nacional B league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Temperley vs Jujuy professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. No outcomes consider extra time or penalty shootouts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the crowd believes a different outcome is more likely than the sportsbook does, or that arbitrage opportunities are present. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current market depth provides insight into the level of conviction behind different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Temperley vs Jujuy match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting the match conditions might also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi can create price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s predictions.