TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:59 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and RB Ōmiya Ardija, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tegevajaro Miyazaki" if Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RB Ōmiya Ardija" if RB Ōmiya Ardija are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and RB Ōmiya Ardija, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tegevajaro Miyazaki" if Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RB Ōmiya Ardija" if RB Ōmiya Ardija are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the higher the price of those shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Tegevajaro Miyazaki or RB Ōmiya Ardija, scores the first goal in the match. If neither team scores, that outcome will be considered the result. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in playing field conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market. A strong performance by either team in a prior match could also shift expectations and move the odds on Polymarket.