TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Ōita Trinita on October 31, 2026. Markets exist for Tegevajaro Miyazaki winning, Ōita Trinita winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Ōita Trinita.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Tegevajaro vs Oita professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026: a win for Tegevajaro, a win for Oita, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform's rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market reflects the aggregate beliefs of informed traders who may have access to unique data or analytical models. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate forecasts, especially when significant information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads and higher liquidity.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform differs; currently, Polymarket shows a slightly different inclination than Kalshi. Differences in market design, such as the types of orders allowed or the availability of leverage, can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations are normal and reflect the independent operation of each market, even as they track the same underlying event.