TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:28 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional Copa del Rey match. The market resolves based on which team wins the game within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probability from this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, offering a potentially valuable signal.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Tedeon winning the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'yes' outcome. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the evolving beliefs of participants, creating a real-time assessment of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Tedeon vs CD Anaitasuna match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 if Tedeon wins the match in regulation time, and to 0 if they do not. The final result will be determined based on the official match outcome as reported by recognized sports authorities, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Tedeon or CD Anaitasuna could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or weather conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and cause the price to move, reflecting the collective assessment of informed traders.