TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:50 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Vitality and LOUD will compete in the second map of their series. Winning this map may be essential for either team to regain control or solidify their position in the match.
If Team Vitality wins map 2 in the VCT Champions 2026: Team Vitality vs. LOUD Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If LOUD wins map 2 in the VCT Champions 2026: Team Vitality vs. LOUD Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own information and insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook offerings. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market price in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the implied probability of a particular team winning Map 2.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Team Vitality vs. LOUD match. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning contract. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during Map 1 of the series will likely have a substantial impact, as it provides initial data points for assessing team strengths. Major upsets or dominant performances in other matches could also indirectly affect the market. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis from respected esports commentators could sway opinions and drive trading activity.