TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining the winner of the first map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between Team Vitality and KT Rolster. The outcome depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during the scheduled tournament event. Results are based on official match conclusions, with specific guidelines for handling postponements or cancellations.
If Team Vitality wins map 1 in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Team Vitality vs. KT Rolster League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If KT Rolster wins map 1 in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Team Vitality vs. KT Rolster League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It's common to see this market offer odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the first map between Team Vitality and KT Rolster. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the Team Vitality versus KT Rolster match. The winning team of Map 1, as determined by the official game results, will be the determining factor for settlement. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match and verification of the results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Vitality or KT Rolster could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early results from other maps in the series, could also impact predictions. Major upsets in similar recent matches, or analysis from esports experts, might also cause the market to react and adjust its pricing accordingly.