TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event features a competitive match between two teams in the PARI Universe 2026 tournament, scheduled for October 26, 2026. It is part of a larger esports competition where teams battle in a strategic team-based game. The outcome of the match will be determined by the performance of the teams over the course of the game.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the PARI Universe 2026: Team Liquid vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook lines, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of maps, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, leading to a potentially more efficient forecast than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of maps played in the Team Liquid vs. Team Yandex match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game results, as reported by the event organizers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of maps played will receive a payout of $1 per contract, minus any applicable fees. The market will then be considered settled, and trading will cease.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Team Liquid or Team Yandex could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, in-match events, such as early map wins or dominant performances by individual players, could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.