TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:15 AM EST
Kalshi
Two elite Dota 2 teams, Team Liquid and Team Yandex, will face off in a highly anticipated match. The outcome of the second map will determine which team demonstrates superior strategy and execution in this crucial phase of competition.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the specified Dota 2 match. If either team wins map 2 as scheduled on Oct 26, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to differences in participant incentives and information access. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's a significant amount of informed trading activity. It's common to see this market reflect a different probability than traditional betting venues, potentially indicating a different assessment of the teams’ chances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently and provide a real-time assessment of the potential winner of Map 2 between Team Liquid and Team Yandex. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team on Map 2 of the Team Liquid vs. Team Yandex match will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand the potential implications for their positions.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could significantly shift the odds. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets or dominant performances by either Team Liquid or Team Yandex in other matches leading up to Map 2 could also be catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths has the potential to move this market.