TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines whether specific tight ends finish among the highest scorers in fantasy football for a single week, using a standardized scoring system that rewards various in-game performances like receptions, touchdowns, and field goals.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player finishes within the top five in total full-PPR fantasy points among all eligible tight ends for Week 7 of the 2026 NFL regular season, as calculated by Sleeper’s scoring system. Points are awarded for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive performances per Sleeper’s default full-PPR rules, including overtime statistics. Players not participating that week score zero. If multiple players tie for the fifth position, contracts settle pro-rata based on the tie count (e.g., a two-way tie results in a $0.50 payout per contract). All rankings include players without listed markets, with player eligibility determined by Sleeper at expiration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or matchup analysis – the prediction market odds tend to become more accurate. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, although discrepancies can still emerge based on differing risk assessments and motivations of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a particular tight end will be among the top performers in Week 7. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final fantasy football point totals for tight ends in Week 7 games. The top performers will be determined by standard fantasy football scoring rules, and the outcome will be verified against publicly available data from established fantasy sports providers. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key tight ends are a major catalyst, as the absence of a star player can dramatically shift expectations for others. Matchup analysis – specifically, how well each tight end’s team matches up against the opposing defense – will also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding player usage or offensive schemes could also move the market. Finally, any significant changes in public perception or expert rankings could lead to shifts in the odds as traders adjust their positions.