TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which tight end will achieve the highest fantasy points in a specific week of the professional football season, using a standard scoring system that rewards various in-game performances such as receptions, touchdowns, and field goals. The outcome is based solely on player performance during that week, with no ties resolved through fractional payouts.
Each market resolves to "Yes" only if the specified player finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points among all tight ends in Week 7 of the 2026 NFL regular season, as calculated by Sleeper’s default scoring system. Points include receiving yards (0.1 per yard), receptions (1 point each), touchdowns (6 points each), and additional contributions from rushing, kicking, and defensive statistics. Players not participating that week score zero. If multiple players tie for the highest points, the market resolves to a fractional value of 1 divided by the number of tied players (e.g., 1/2 for a two-way tie), with no holder receiving the full $1 prize unless they are the sole leader. All markets share identical scoring rules and tiebreaker conditions, ensuring consistent evaluation across all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the week, as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Week 7 TE performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player being the Week 7 TE leader. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of each player's potential performance. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official fantasy point totals awarded by a major fantasy football provider for Week 7 NFL games. The player with the highest fantasy point total among all tight ends will be declared the winner. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the results are officially validated and the market is settled on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports are crucial; news of a key injury to a top tight end would likely shift probabilities. Changes in quarterback performance or offensive schemes could also influence expectations. Unexpectedly favorable or unfavorable matchups for specific tight ends will also be closely watched. Late-breaking news regarding player health, weather conditions impacting passing games, or even coaching decisions could all contribute to movement in this market leading up to Week 7’s games.