TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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TE Fantasy Football Week 4 Top 5?
kalshi

TE Fantasy Football Week 4 Top 5?

Volume:
$3,501

Sam LaPorta

 - Kalshi

Sam LaPorta - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sam LaPorta

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$864
N/A
N/A
$864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brock Bowers

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

T.J. Hockenson

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$561
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Kittle

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brenton Strange

View
50%
41%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Kenyon Sadiq

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
$478
Settled
No
kalshi

Darren Waller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
$457
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

Juwan Johnson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

Isaiah Likely

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Colston Loveland

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Hunter Henry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Theo Johnson

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Ferguson

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Trey McBride

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Harold Fannin Jr.

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Kelce

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Schultz

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Barner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Pitts Sr.

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Darnell Washington

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pat Freiermuth

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This event determines whether specific tight ends rank among the highest scorers in fantasy football for a single week, using a detailed point system that rewards various in-game achievements.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player finishes within the top five in total full-PPR fantasy points among all tight ends for Week 4 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season. Points are calculated using Sleeper's default full-PPR scoring, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive performances. Players who do not participate in the week receive zero points. If multiple players tie for the fifth position, each tied player's contract settles at a fractional value based on the number of tied players (e.g., 1/2 if two players tie). All markets share these core rules, with individual player markets differing only in the athlete being evaluated.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the week, as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs should be considered.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a particular tight end will finish in the top 5. As more contracts are purchased for a specific player, the price of that contract increases, indicating a higher probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The current prices represent the implied probabilities of each tight end being among the top 5.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final NFL fantasy football rankings are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the standard fantasy football scoring rules used by major platforms like ESPN and Yahoo. The top 5 tight ends, as determined by these widely accepted scoring systems, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the final rankings.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports are crucial; a key tight end sustaining an injury would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team offensive schemes or quarterback performance could also influence a tight end’s fantasy football production. News regarding player matchups – a favorable matchup against a weak pass defense, for example – could increase a player’s perceived value. Finally, any significant news or analysis from prominent fantasy football analysts could sway market sentiment and move the odds.