TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of TCU and Baylor in the second quarter of their college football game, focusing on the margin of victory for either team during that specific period. It allows participants to speculate on how dominant one team might be in a particular segment of the game.
The event evaluates whether TCU or Baylor secures a victory margin exceeding specified point thresholds during the second quarter of their college football match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point differential, with outcomes ranging from narrow to substantial margins of victory. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event emphasizes quarter-specific performance, distinct from the overall game outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s pricing is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers regarding the likely outcome of the TCU vs Baylor 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different outcomes. Traders purchase 'yes' contracts if they believe Baylor will win the 2nd quarter by over 7.5 points, and 'no' contracts if they believe they won’t. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the 2nd quarter between TCU and Baylor will be used to determine whether Baylor won by over 7.5 points, fulfilling the 'yes' contract, or if they did not, fulfilling the 'no' contract. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the TCU or Baylor teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence how traders assess the probability of Baylor covering the 2nd quarter spread. Unexpected public statements from coaches or players could also contribute to price fluctuations.