TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between TCU and Baylor, specifically how many points one team may win by over the other during that period. The markets cover a range of possible point differentials, allowing participants to bet on various margins of victory for either team in the latter half of the game.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the TCU vs Baylor college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that threshold in the second half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves normally. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including news, injuries, and public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall in that range. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the TCU vs Baylor second-half spread.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the TCU vs Baylor game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either TCU or Baylor would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could influence trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price fluctuations.