TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group centers around the upcoming college football game between TCU and Baylor on October 17th. Markets cover the game's outcome, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and various team and player statistics. The markets are designed to allow users to predict the results of the game.
In the upcoming college football game between TCU and Baylor, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between TCU and Baylor, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the TCU vs. Baylor game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. While sportsbooks may incorporate public opinion, prediction markets *are* public opinion, expressed through financial stakes. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in user base, market design, and trading volume. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Predict could have a broader, less experienced user base. Differences in the types of markets offered on each platform, or even the specific framing of this market, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: Baylor (-1.5) at 100, while Predict leans toward TCU vs. Baylor at n/a. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources of information.