TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a college football game between TCU and Baylor. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that participants can bet on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the opening quarter might be.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the TCU vs Baylor college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the threshold they bet on.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected result, though this market represents a unique forecast independent of sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the TCU vs Baylor 1st quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the TCU vs Baylor game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either TCU or Baylor would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the scoring environment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game draws closer and more information becomes available, the market will react to any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the likely first-quarter total.