TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:00h:28m
$
This event group centers on the college football game between TCU and Arizona, scheduled for November 6th. Markets cover the game's outcome (win/loss), point spreads, over/under totals, and various statistical achievements within the game.
In the upcoming college football game between TCU and Arizona, scheduled for November 6 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the TCU vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. If Arizona wins, the market resolves to Yes for the Arizona outcome; if TCU wins, it resolves to Yes for the TCU outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between TCU and Arizona, scheduled for November 6 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered elsewhere. These differences can arise from varying information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions among participants. Examining both prediction markets and sportsbooks can provide a more nuanced understanding of the probabilities surrounding the TCU vs. Arizona game.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors 2H Spread: Arizona (-0.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Arizona wins at 75.0%. Differences in trading fees, margin requirements, or even the types of participants attracted to each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations demonstrate the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives they capture.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the TCU vs. Arizona game, as declared by a recognized authority in college football. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring a clear understanding of how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could trigger a response from traders. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact game conditions, could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by media coverage or social media trends, might influence the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market leading up to Nov 7, 2026.