TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will score over 24.5 points in their game against the Dallas Cowboys. Currently, the probability of the Buccaneers exceeding this total on Kalshi is 95.0%. Resolution will be determined by the Dallas Cowboys’ score in the originally scheduled Pro Football game on October 8, 2026, as detailed by Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the Buccaneers vs. Cowboys game and is estimated to be finalized by October 9, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by either the Dallas Cowboys or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the designated team scores more points than the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The thresholds vary incrementally for each team, offering a range of scoring expectations from very low (e.g., over 3.5 points) to very high (e.g., over 42.5 points). All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if the team total matches the contract's value at resolution, and $0 otherwise. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market continuously incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine winning contracts. The market will settle based on the combined points scored by both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys during the game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final team total. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team total will receive a payout of $1 per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring output. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the days leading up to the game, such as significant line changes in sportsbooks or influential analyst predictions, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.