TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Tampa Bay Buccaneers or the Dallas Cowboys specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled game on October 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys during the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 8, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in the respective market—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either team. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward resolving these markets, meaning any scoring from other quarters is irrelevant. The markets cover both possible outcomes (Buccaneers or Cowboys winning by the stated margins), allowing participants to bet on either team's dominance within that specific quarter. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns, this market continuously updates as new information and perspectives emerge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks related to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Buccaneers-Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether the Buccaneers win the 3rd quarter by over 2.5 points, under 2.5 points, or if the game is tied. The final spread will be sourced from official NFL data and reported by major sports news outlets, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public betting trends or analysis from prominent sports commentators could contribute to price fluctuations.