TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins the second half of an upcoming football game, focusing solely on the points scored after halftime. Bettors can speculate on the margin of victory for either the Dallas Cowboys or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the latter half of the match.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either the Dallas Cowboys or Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold—ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 20.5 points—that the winning team must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' If the winning team meets or falls short of the specified threshold, the market resolves as 'No.' Crucially, only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these thresholds, isolating the analysis to the latter stage of the game. The outcome hinges exclusively on the point differential in this designated timeframe, irrespective of the overall game result or first-half performance.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi tend to reflect information similar to sportsbook odds, but with some key differences. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges and traders update their views. It’s common to see prediction market odds move more quickly than sportsbook odds in response to breaking news or shifts in sentiment regarding this market. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Buccaneers-Cowboys game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will reflect the actual difference in scores between the two teams during the second half. Traders will then receive payouts based on their contract positions and the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment regarding this market.