TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gima and Ryan Peniston in the Taranto, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Ryan Peniston. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Sebastian Gima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gima and Ryan Peniston in the Taranto, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Ryan Peniston. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Sebastian Gima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. This can lead to differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis and public perception, while this market evolves as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they benefit from continuous trading and diverse viewpoints. However, discrepancies can occur based on differing information access and risk assessments.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Gima vs Peniston match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to either Sebastian Gima or Ryan Peniston would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location, particularly if they favor one player’s style of play, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about court surface changes or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could shift market sentiment. Finally, general betting trends and analysis from tennis experts could contribute to movements in the price of shares in this market.