TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Ziga Sesko in the Taranto, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Izquierdo Luque' if Rafael Izquierdo Luque advances against Ziga Sesko. This market will resolve to 'Ziga Sesko' if Ziga Sesko advances against Rafael Izquierdo Luque. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Ziga Sesko in the Taranto, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Izquierdo Luque' if Rafael Izquierdo Luque advances against Ziga Sesko. This market will resolve to 'Ziga Sesko' if Ziga Sesko advances against Rafael Izquierdo Luque. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Taranto tennis match between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Ziga Sesko. The platform will verify the winner based on widely available and trusted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels and trading volume. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing the trading patterns on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.