TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Reg Time: Levante
- Kalshi
Reg Time: Levante - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:18h:44m
$
This market centers on predicting the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Tarancon and Levante, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. Bettors can speculate on whether Tarancon, Levante, or a tie will be the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution excludes outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts, emphasizing the immediate conclusion of the match.
The markets collectively determine the winner or tie outcome of the Tarancon vs Levante Copa del Rey match scheduled for November 5, 2026, based solely on regulation time—defined as 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but explicitly excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to one possible result: a win for Tarancon, a win for Levante, or a tie. If the match concludes with any of these results within regulation time, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, following Kalshi's standard procedures for such contingencies. Importantly, Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows traders to adjust those probabilities based on a wider range of factors, including news, injuries, and even subtle shifts in public perception. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available, as traders weigh these influences and express their beliefs through their buy and sell decisions. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds being more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their own assessment and the market price.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Tarancon vs Levante match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team wins the match in regulation time, excluding any potential overtime or penalty shootouts. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract and fulfilling payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome of this contest.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tarancon or Levante would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in recent matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public statements from players could all contribute to movement in the market. Unexpected lineup changes announced shortly before the match are also likely to have an impact on the odds.