TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liiga match between Tappara Tampere and Ilves Tampere, originally scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Tappara Tampere" if Tappara Tampere is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming Liiga match between Tappara Tampere and Ilves Tampere, originally scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Tappara Tampere" if Tappara Tampere is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds for the Tampere derby to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders on Polymarket. Often, prediction markets can offer more nuanced probabilities, especially as new information emerges, and can sometimes identify discrepancies in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, while the volume on Polymarket may be lower, potentially leading to wider bid-ask spreads.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tampere derby. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the combined actions of all traders, and the 24-hour volume indicates the level of activity and interest in this particular market. The total group volume of $1,678 demonstrates the overall participation in this event, while the 24-hour volume of $1,683 shows recent trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tappara Tampere versus Ilves Tampere game. The winning team, as determined by the official game statistics, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either Tappara Tampere or Ilves Tampere would likely have a significant impact. News regarding team morale, coaching strategies, or recent performance could also move the market. Furthermore, any major upsets in other games leading up to the derby might influence traders' perceptions of team strength and overall competitiveness, leading to adjustments in the price of shares.