TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs Vegas: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Vegas?

Volume:
$558,940

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 1:19 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$355,181
N/A
N/A
$246,418
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,752
N/A
N/A
$57,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 goals

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,312
N/A
N/A
$44,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,440
N/A
N/A
$21,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,379
N/A
N/A
$12,355
Settled
No
kalshi

Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,769
N/A
N/A
$1,664
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
$1,628
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market assesses different scoring margins in an upcoming NHL game between Tampa Bay and Vegas. It focuses on whether either team secures a decisive victory by exceeding specific goal differentials. Outcomes are determined by the official game result, accounting for potential schedule adjustments.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official result of the Tampa Bay vs Vegas NHL game scheduled for October 20, 2026, with specific conditions for victory margins. If Vegas wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, the relevant market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution; the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of scheduling changes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NHL championship market tracks the current odds for Vegas to win by a certain spread against Tampa Bay. You'll find a price history showing how those odds have changed over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $543,087. Total volume for this market is $558,940. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will land, reflecting their collective predictions about the outcome of the game.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective insights of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Tampa Bay versus Vegas game. The resolution will reflect whether Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals, as defined by the market contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of team momentum. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the teams and their chances of winning.