TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Tampa Bay vs Vegas
kalshi

Who will win Tampa Bay vs Vegas?

Volume:
$2,453,072

Tampa Bay

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 1:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$749,786
N/A
N/A
$537,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vegas

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,703,286
N/A
N/A
$1,184,997
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Tampa Bay will win its NHL game against Vegas. Currently, Kalshi gives Tampa Bay an 89.0% probability of winning, while Vegas is at 13.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Tampa Bay vs Vegas NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on whether the game starts within 48 hours of its scheduled time, as that will determine if the result stands, with resolution expected by October 21, 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the NHL game between Tampa Bay and Vegas scheduled for October 20, 2026. If Tampa Bay wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Vegas wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NHL championship market tracks the current odds of each team winning, displaying the implied probabilities based on trading activity. You can also view the price history, showing how the odds have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,441,727. The total volume traded in this market is $2,453,072. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within the NHL championship market.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by public perception or promotional considerations. Sportsbooks often adjust their odds based on betting action, but this market provides a continuously updated assessment of probabilities driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. While both aim to predict the outcome, the underlying mechanisms and sources of information vary, leading to potential discrepancies in the odds offered for this event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence the bid-ask spread, providing insights into the liquidity and confidence surrounding each possible result.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the NHL championship series, determining which team is crowned the champion. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing teams will not.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected coaching changes, or shifts in team performance during the playoffs are all potential catalysts. Major trades leading up to the trade deadline could also reshape team dynamics and influence the odds. Furthermore, news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or even external factors like travel schedules could all contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.