TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:38 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a competitive match between two teams in a soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the standard playing time, which includes the initial 90 minutes and any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within this regular timeframe.
If Tampa Bay and Sporting Jax both score a goal in the Tampa Bay vs Sporting Jax USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders who aim to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or changing sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or neither team to score). The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more active trading typically becomes, potentially leading to greater price volatility.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both teams score at least one goal during regulation time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Tampa Bay or Sporting Jax teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause the odds to move. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the market price.