TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs New York Y: First 5 Spread
kalshi

Tampa Bay vs New York Y: First 5 Spread

Volume:
$114,903

New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 10:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,244
N/A
N/A
$36,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,006
N/A
N/A
$14,115
Settled
No
kalshi

New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,705
N/A
N/A
$10,537
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,948
N/A
N/A
$4,368
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams over the first five innings of their scheduled game. It focuses on the margin of victory for each team, determining whether the winning team maintains a significant lead within that timeframe. The outcome depends purely on the score differential at the end of the fifth inning.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes based on the score difference between Tampa Bay and New York Y during the first five innings of their game scheduled for October 7, 2026. Four distinct conditions determine resolution: New York Y winning by more than 2.5 runs, New York Y winning by more than 1.5 runs, Tampa Bay winning by more than 1.5 runs, or Tampa Bay winning by more than 2.5 runs, all assessed solely within the first five innings. If the originally scheduled game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close only after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. The resolution hinges exclusively on the score differential at the end of the fifth inning of the actual played game, with no consideration given to later innings or full-game results.