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$154.5b

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$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

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4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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Tampa Bay vs New York R: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs New York R?

Volume:
$53,581

New York R wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

New York R wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 10:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York R wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,941
N/A
N/A
$12,869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York R wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,990
N/A
N/A
$7,666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,566
N/A
N/A
$10,427
Settled
No
kalshi

New York R wins by over 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,905
N/A
N/A
$1,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
No
kalshi

New York R wins by over 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market assesses different margin-of-victory scenarios for an upcoming NHL game between Tampa Bay and New York R. It covers various goal-differential thresholds that determine the outcome based on which team wins by a specific margin. The resolution hinges on the official game result, with adjustments for postponements or cancellations.

Kalshi

The event consists of four markets, each evaluating whether a team wins by a specific goal margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals—in the Tampa Bay vs New York R NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The primary determination for each market depends solely on the winning team’s goal differential relative to the specified threshold (1.5 or 2.5 goals), with separate markets for both Tampa Bay and New York R achieving these margins.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Rays vs Yankees spread tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different spread outcomes has changed over time, and monitor the recent activity in this market. Currently, the total volume is $53,581 with $48,829 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely outcome of the game, as expressed through their buy and sell decisions.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly as more information becomes available and the event draws closer. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, such as injuries, weather forecasts, or changes in team performance, and the interplay between buyers and sellers.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Tampa Bay vs New York game. The resolution will reflect whether the actual spread differed from the contract’s specified outcome, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. The official game result will serve as the basis for determining winners and losers in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence the price action in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Rays or the Yankees would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the game’s conditions could also move the market. Furthermore, major changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, or even significant news about pitching matchups, could all lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.