TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Total Bases
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee?

Volume:
$145,250

Junior Caminero: 2+

 - Kalshi

Junior Caminero: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Junior Caminero: 2+

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,029
N/A
N/A
$9,739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Contreras: 2+

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,590
N/A
N/A
$9,891
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jackson Chourio: 2+

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,735
N/A
N/A
$9,476
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christian Yelich: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,974
N/A
N/A
$6,933
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Aranda: 2+

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,542
N/A
N/A
$5,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

David Hamilton: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
$1,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chandler Simpson: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$1,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christian Yelich: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
$976
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Aranda: 3+

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$603
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yandy Díaz: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,825
N/A
N/A
$10,307
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Bauers: 2+

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,595
N/A
N/A
$6,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Bauers: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,927
N/A
N/A
$5,926
Settled
No
kalshi

William Contreras: 5+

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,500
N/A
N/A
$5,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Victor Mesa Jr.: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,069
N/A
N/A
$4,927
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Hicks: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,607
N/A
N/A
$4,607
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Bauers: 5+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,306
N/A
N/A
$4,305
Settled
No
kalshi

William Contreras: 3+

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,208
N/A
N/A
$4,206
Settled
No
kalshi

Brice Turang: 2+

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,014
N/A
N/A
$3,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Garrett Mitchell: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,912
N/A
N/A
$3,491
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Chourio: 5+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,610
N/A
N/A
$3,610
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Bauers: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,725
N/A
N/A
$2,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler Simpson: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,637
N/A
N/A
$2,610
Settled
No
kalshi

David Hamilton: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,146
N/A
N/A
$2,146
Settled
No
kalshi

Garrett Mitchell: 4+

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,040
N/A
N/A
$2,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Junior Caminero: 3+

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,953
N/A
N/A
$1,646
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming baseball game between Tampa Bay and Milwaukee. It focuses on whether selected players achieve certain thresholds of total bases during the match. Outcomes are determined solely by the players' statistical contributions, not the overall game result.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether specified players record a minimum number of total bases in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee game scheduled for Oct 23, 2026. Each market has a primary rule requiring a player to achieve 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+ total bases for resolution to 'Yes'. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if a player is scratched, not in the starting lineup, or fails to record a plate appearance, the market resolves at fair market price. If a player enters as a substitute but does not start, pinch-hit at-bats are excluded, and the market also resolves at fair market price. Only players who start and record at least one plate appearance contribute to the market outcome, which is settled purely based on their total bases accumulated during the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee total bases market displays the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different total base outcomes for the game. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $139,004 and the overall volume is $145,250. This provides insight into how actively traders are participating in this market and how much capital is being allocated to various predictions. The dashboard updates in real-time, reflecting the latest trading activity.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each system. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total base outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher total base count is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing those outcomes, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of bases achieved by both the Tampa Bay and Milwaukee teams during the game will determine the final result. This includes all singles, doubles, triples, and home runs hit by both teams combined. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or lineup changes for either the Tampa Bay or Milwaukee teams would likely cause movement. Weather conditions, particularly those that could affect hitting, could also play a role. Additionally, performance in recent games, pitching matchups, and even pre-game analysis from baseball experts can all impact trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Unexpected events during the game itself, such as a particularly strong offensive showing from one team, could also lead to significant shifts.