TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific pitchers in an upcoming baseball game between Tampa Bay and Milwaukee achieve a minimum number of outs recorded during their appearance. The focus is on evaluating pitching performance thresholds for individual players under defined conditions.
If Drew Rasmussen has 18+ outs recorded in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Misiorowski has 17+ outs recorded in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as information evolves and more traders participate. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of outs recorded in the Tampa Bay versus Milwaukee game will be the determining factor. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following the official confirmation of the game's statistics.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding pitcher changes, injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or Milwaukee teams, or even significant weather forecasts impacting the game could all lead to shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance from players during the game itself, such as a particularly dominant pitching performance or a string of quick outs, would also likely cause movement. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely game outcome has the potential to move this market.