TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific pitchers in an upcoming baseball game between Tampa Bay and Milwaukee. It focuses on the number of hits each pitcher allows during their appearance, with different thresholds for resolution.
The event resolves based on the number of hits allowed by designated starting pitchers during the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee game scheduled for October 23, 2026. If the named pitcher is not a starting pitcher, or is scratched, the market resolves at fair market price. Relief appearances do not count toward hits allowed. Settlement occurs only if the pitcher faces at least one batter as a starter, with resolution dependent on whether they allow hits meeting or exceeding the specified threshold for each market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different hit totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the confidence level surrounding each possible outcome, allowing traders to assess the perceived value of each contract.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of hits allowed by both the Tampa Bay Rays and the Milwaukee Brewers during the scheduled game will determine the winning contract. The official MLB game logs will serve as the definitive source for this data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses and resolution approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also a key consideration, as they can affect hitting performance. Unexpected lineup changes or reports of player illness could also shift expectations. Finally, as the game progresses, live game data and in-game events will directly influence the prices, creating opportunities for traders to react to unfolding developments.