TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total runs scored by both Tampa Bay and Milwaukee in the first five innings of their scheduled baseball game. Participants assess whether offensive performance will exceed various run thresholds within this early segment of play.
All markets resolve based on the combined runs scored by both teams during the first five innings of the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee baseball game scheduled for October 23, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, or 6.5 runs), with resolution occurring when the total exceeds the respective threshold. If the originally scheduled game is postponed or delayed, all markets remain open and will close after the conclusion of the rescheduled game, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. The outcome for each market is determined solely by whether the actual run total surpasses its designated threshold, with no partial credit or alternative considerations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of contracts available at different price points—indicates the level of agreement among traders regarding the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role, showing how actively a particular outcome is being traded.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first 5 innings total in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official league data and used to determine which contracts will pay out. The exact resolution process is designed to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a clear and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or Milwaukee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the game environment, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts, updated team statistics, and even significant shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions leading up to Oct 24, 2026.