TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Tampa Bay and Miami. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored by both Tampa Bay and Miami in their professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026. All markets resolve after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing rules emphasize that the resolution is based solely on goals scored within the standard match duration, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely total goals scored in the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds are constantly evolving, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Tampa Bay vs Miami game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors influencing the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Tampa Bay or Miami teams would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.