TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if both Tampa Bay and Miami will score in their USL Championship match set for October 30, 2026. The resolution depends exclusively on whether each side scores during the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, with extra time and penalties not considered.
If Tampa Bay and Miami both score a goal in the Tampa Bay vs Miami USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks often incorporate margins for profit and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbook odds may initially seem more readily available, prediction markets can offer a unique perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies or insights overlooked by traditional oddsmakers. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment of the likely event outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the market price reflects the aggregate expectation of all participants. The current price effectively represents the market’s consensus forecast for the event, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Tampa Bay and Miami teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand any potential influencing factors.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tampa Bay or Miami would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Finally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's manager could shift expectations and lead to price fluctuations in this market.