TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
For the USL Championship encounter between Tampa Bay and Miami scheduled for October 3, 2026, this event checks if each team scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes of regular time, including stoppage time but not extra time or penalties.
If Tampa Bay and Miami both score a goal in the Tampa Bay vs Miami USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows participants to directly express their probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring. It’s important to consider that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Tampa Bay vs Miami match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, demand for the 'Yes' contract increases, driving up its price. Conversely, if traders believe one or both teams will be held scoreless, the 'No' contract price will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Tampa Bay and Miami teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a reputable sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle based on whether both teams scored, paying out to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Tampa Bay or Miami teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected pre-match announcements, such as changes to the starting lineups, could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.