TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Tampa Bay and Detroit City FC in the USL Championship. The result is determined based on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for Tampa Bay, a win for Detroit City FC, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Tampa Bay, a win for Detroit City FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within regulation time, with no account for post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Generally, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals making predictions and trading based on their own analysis. While both aim to forecast the outcome, prediction markets can sometimes provide a more accurate signal, especially when there's a significant difference between the two, potentially reflecting information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a particular result, and the difference between the 'buy' and 'sell' prices represents the spread.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. All trading will cease at the resolution time, and contracts will be settled based on whether the predicted outcome occurred. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather forecasts could shift the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also impact trading volume and prices. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a red card or a key player scoring an early goal, could also cause rapid adjustments in this market as traders react to the unfolding events.