TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on whether the Tampa Bay and Dallas football game scheduled for October 8 ends in a tie. A tie means neither team scores more points than the other by the end of regulation time, without any overtime periods.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines, which are set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the market efficiently incorporates new data. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing motivations and information access between prediction market traders and traditional sports bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a tie in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas game. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus, creating a dynamic and informative signal about the potential for a tie.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay vs Dallas game, specifically whether the game ends in a tie. Any overtime periods will be included in determining the final result. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the game's conclusion and determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Major changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any news regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or strategic adjustments could cause traders to reassess the probability of a tie. Public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also indirectly affect trading activity on Kalshi.