TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of Tampa Bay and Dallas in their scheduled football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total yards each team gains during the game, reflecting offensive efficiency and strategy.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Tampa Bay or Dallas in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market has a specific yardage threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team; if the specified team meets or exceeds its threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria regardless of the yardage threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, the price of this market is determined by the forces of supply and demand within a continuous double auction. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the total yards will exceed a certain threshold, and sell 'no' contracts if they believe it will fall short. This dynamic interaction establishes the market price, which represents the probability of the outcome. The current volume of $110,742 indicates the level of activity and interest in this particular prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly updating their expectations, causing the price to shift as new information emerges.
This market will resolve around Oct 9, 2026, based on the official total yards achieved by both the Tampa Bay and Dallas teams during their game. The outcome will be determined by publicly available game statistics, verified against credible public sources. The final yardage totals will be the deciding factor, and the market will resolve to reflect whether the actual combined yardage exceeds or falls below the threshold represented by the market price. The resolution process aims for objectivity and relies on established game data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the Tampa Bay or Dallas teams would likely cause price fluctuations, as would updates on weather conditions expected during the game. Significant changes in betting percentages at sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior on Kalshi. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available before Oct 9, 2026.