TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specified minimum thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Dallas or Tampa Bay, resolving to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different sack totals, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a particular sack total is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome. The current price represents the market's estimated probability of that specific sack total occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final sack totals from the Tampa Bay versus Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics recorded by the NFL. The market will determine which prediction of the total number of sacks was the most accurate, and those holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results as they become available.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players known for generating sacks on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could also affect the game plan and potentially reduce the number of sacks. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from experts and updated team statistics could shift market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.