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Tampa Bay vs Dallas: Rushing Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Dallas?

Volume:
$846,293

Bucky Irving

 - Kalshi

Bucky Irving - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 11:30 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bucky Irving

View
51%
51%
Yes 51.2¢No 48.8¢
—
N/A
$199,917
N/A
N/A
$171,574
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Javonte Williams

View
1%
9%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$91,396
N/A
N/A
$75,116
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Dak Prescott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$554,980
N/A
N/A
$199,975
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market on Kalshi predicts whether Bucky Irving’s rushing yards will trigger an escalating payout structure in the Tampa Bay versus Dallas football game, based on Dak Prescott’s total rushing yards. Currently, the probability of Bucky Irving Rushing Yards Escalator resolving to Yes is 32.8%, while Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Escalator is at 3.4%. Resolution is determined by the official rushing yards statistics from the game originally scheduled for October 8, 2026, as reported by the official NFL data feed. Keep a close watch on the final game statistics following the game on October 9, 2026, to see if Irving’s performance meets the escalating payout thresholds.

Kalshi

Contracts in this event resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players (Dak Prescott, Javonte Williams, and Bucky Irving) during the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a scalar amount determined by a cubic function of the player's rushing yards, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout schedule increases incrementally every 10 yards, starting at $0.0000 for 0–9 yards and reaching $1.0000 for 200+ yards. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. Negative rushing totals result in a $0.00 Yes payout. All payouts are calculated using the formula: Payout = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents the official rushing yards. The markets are scalar, meaning payouts depend solely on the numerical yardage achieved, not on game outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tampa Bay vs Dallas rushing yards market displays the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different rushing yard totals for both teams combined. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $260,966, and the total volume traded to date is $846,293. This provides a real-time view of how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the game, offering insight into expectations for the running game's performance.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise where traders can profit by simultaneously taking opposing positions in the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and their odds often converge as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing rushing yards will exceed a certain level) and offer to sell 'no' contracts (believing rushing yards will fall short). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market. The current price reflects the aggregate expectations of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game's completion. The final combined rushing yards will be compared against the various contract levels offered in this market to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for the resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. News regarding key injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be a significant catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact expectations for the running game. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions related to running plays could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could influence trader behavior and, consequently, the market price.