TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific athletes achieve predetermined yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the contest.
All markets resolve based on the combined rushing and receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. If a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the total yards they record through both rushing and receiving actions during the game. Each market has a specific yardage threshold that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. The markets are independent, with each outlining different performance benchmarks for the same players. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks frequently set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Observing these differences can be insightful, as both represent distinct perspectives on the probability of various results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their analysis of team performance, player statistics, injury reports, and other relevant factors. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective prediction, offering a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for players on both the Tampa Bay and Dallas teams will be used to determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the settled price and whether their predictions were accurate following the completion of the game and verification of the final statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or Dallas teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also influence trading activity. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive game plans might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to substantial movements in the market price.